Yen set for weekly loss but vaccine boost wanes

By Tom Westbrook

SYDNEY (Reuters) – The dollar headed for its best week against the yen since March on Friday, as COVID-19 vaccine news lured investors out of the Japanese safe haven, though riskier currencies have made little headway as the pandemic worsens in Europe and the United States.

Virus worries helped the yen recoup a little of its losses overnight, lifting it 0.3% against the greenback, but it remains about 1.7% lower for the week, which if sustained would be its sharpest weekly drop since falling 2.4% in the panic of March.

It was steady at 105.05 yen per dollar early in the Asia session. The Australian dollar and New Zealand dollar nursed losses made with the risk-averse mood, while sterling sat near a one-week low after disappointing gross domestic product data. [GBP/]

“There are reasons to be optimistic about the global economic recovery, and eventual pandemic submission over the coming year, but we are not out woods yet,” said National Australia bank’s senior currency strategist Rodrigo Catril.

“The Aussie continues to find the air thinning above 73 cents.”

The Aussie last held at $0.7236 and is headed for a small weekly loss. The kiwi was steady at $0.6834 and is headed for a weekly gain of 0.9% as investors reckon economic improvements have made negative rates less of a sure thing.

The euro rose marginally overnight to clamber back over $1.18, but it is down about 0.6% for the week so far. The dollar index <=USD> is up 0.7% this week. The Chinese yuan was steady at 6.6130 in offshore trade.

In Europe and the United States, a second wave of infections has prompted the re-imposition of restrictions to stop the virus’ spread. That will have markets discounting any good news in eurozone growth numbers due later on Friday.

“The GDP report will have minimal impact on the euro with analysts, including ourselves, now widely expecting a double‑dip recession in the euro zone starting in the fourth quarter,” said Commonwealth Bank of Australia analyst Kim Mundy in a note.

Central bank chiefs likewise warned that the crisis has some way to run, even with the end now in sight thanks to Pfizer’s announcement this week that trials have showed the vaccine it developed with Germany’s BioNTech seems to work.

“From a huge river of uncertainty, we see the other side now,” said European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde in a panel discussion with U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey.

“But I don’t want to be exuberant about this vaccination because there is still uncertainty,” she said, about its production and distribution.

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Currency bid prices at 11:25AM in Sydney (0025 GMT)

Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid

Previous Change

Session

Euro/Dollar $1.1810 $1.1804 +0.05% +5.34% +1.1810 +1.1803

Dollar/Yen 105.0350 105.1050 -0.05% -3.28% +105.1200 +105.0500

Euro/Yen 124.03 124.11 -0.06% +1.71% +124.1400 +124.0300

Dollar/Swiss 0.9143 0.9152 -0.08% -5.50% +0.9150 +0.9144

Sterling/Dollar 1.3123 1.3124 -0.02% -1.06% +1.3125 +1.3120

Dollar/Canadian 1.3135 1.3145 -0.07% +1.12% +1.3144 +1.3136

Aussie/Dollar 0.7239 0.7233 +0.10% +3.19% +0.7242 +0.7228

NZ 0.6838 0.6839 +0.00% +1.63% +0.6843 +0.6830

Dollar/Dollar

All spots

Tokyo spots

Europe spots

Volatilities

Tokyo Forex market info from BOJ

(Reporting by Tom Westbrook; Editing by Sam Holmes)